About us
Oraclum Capital is a US hedge fund that uses wisdom of crowds and a proprietary network analysis of social media bubbles to predict weekly equity market moves.
What’s it all about?
We trade options strategies on equity indices based on weekly signals that we derive from our prediction competition. We buy 2 day-to-expiry (DTE) options with maximum risk exposure of only 2% each week.
Our alpha is derived from being right on SPX direction 68% of the time (over the past three years). We gain 4-5% per week when we get it right, lose up to 2% when we get it wrong.
The methodology we use is a scientific innovation developed in our previous company, Oraclum Intelligence Systems, co-founded by ORCA’s trio: Dr Vuković, Dr Vinković, and Prof Šikić (see below). We’ve used it to successfully predict both Brexit and Trump in 2016, and Biden in 2020, all within 1% accuracy, among many other things.
In 2021 and 2022 we live traded the method, making 54% and 73% annual returns.
In 2023, we started trading with the fund, with a set of additional strategies, and made 19% YTD, and 37% since our March lows.
Vuk Vuković
Vuk Vuković, PhD is the CEO and CIO of the ORCA BASON Fund, and the founding partner of both Oraclum Capital and Oraclum Intelligence Systems. His responsibilities include placing and overseeing the weekly trading positioning based on the BASON signal, whilst following a strict set of rules and guidelines that are part of ORCA’s Systematic trading strategy. He is also responsible for relationship building with our investors, writing our weekly newsletter, and all other tasks of running the fund.
Vuk holds a PhD from the University of Oxford, and an MSc from the London School of Economics. His PhD has been adapted into a book Elite Networks: The Political Economy of Inequality, published by Oxford University Press.
Dejan Vinković
Dr. Dejan Vinkovic is one of the co-founders of Oraclum Intelligence System Ltd and Oraclum Capital LLC. As Chief Quant his responsibilities include deriving the weekly BASON signal from our algorithm, regular weekly testing of the strength of the signal, all types of backtests regarding our signal performance, and constant updating of the validity of the signal.
He received his PhD in astrophysics from the University of Kentucky, after which he worked for several years at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton. After that he was a professor at the Physics Department at the University of Split, Croatia. From there he moved into the private sector, where he worked as the Chief Science Officer at the aeronautical firm, Hipersfera Ltd. He is also the founder of Science and Society Synergy Institute, a private non-profit research institute.
Mile Šikić
Mile Šikić is one of the founding partners of Oraclum Intelligence Systems Ltd and Oraclum Capital LLC, where he plays a pivotal role on the Quant Team. He oversees the automation of trading algorithms, the development of cutting-edge AI methodologies, and managing talent acquisition. Professor Šikić is also the head of the AI in Genomics Lab at the Genome Institute of Singapore, A*STAR and a professor of computer science at the University of Zagreb in Croatia.
Scott Alford
Scott Alford is the COO of Oraclum Capital LLC. His responsibilities include identifying strategic partners, outreach and education efforts for investors and potential investors, and business development for Oraclum Capital. Scott holds an MA from George Mason University. He is a former fundraising and philanthropy consultant through Azariah Advising LLC where he advised family foundations and non-profits in their philanthropic investments or fundraising efforts. He also worked as an Academic Dean and social science and humanities teacher for Veritas Collegiate Academy (VCA) in Fairfax, VA, and has worked in university investments and grants with the Charles Koch Foundation.
